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Hi. You might be interested in how a doctor (much older than you) did his risk calculation before attending a friend's birthday party. I think you might be on the same page, or at least adjacent pages.

https://wapo.st/3M47AWz

Note: story above "gifted", so no Post paywall.

Nature reports data that fourth shots of mRNA vaccines, at least in the quite short term, don't boost immunity very much: https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-022-00486-9

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I've been kind of working under the theory that less than 2 months after recovering it would take some incredibly bad dice rolls to manage to get infected again*, but what I'm reading above makes me wonder whether I'm missing something?

I missed this edition of the newsletter until now, and I am glad to see at least some comment about mucosal immunity because I've been trying to track that down. I'm going to a bat mitzvah this coming weekend and I'm trying to get a handle on what that means for interacting with other people in the next days, what with boosted, recently recovered, and carrying with me a ridiculous number of antigen tests.

* didn't the Danes find only 47 omicron to omicron under 60 day reinfections out of 1.8 million in the time period, and 42 were unvax?

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