It is actually 3 months to Biden's timeframe - end of May. It also means though that end of May is when everyone *could* get a first shot (but everyone won't by then) and which means that its end of June before "everyone" would be vaccinated.
Yes, if we count by weeks it's strictly about 10-12 weeks from now. I just went with counting the month numbers--maybe a little imprecise, but I don't think the date that Biden provided is going to be terribly precise either. To be super conservative, one might expect the vaccine to actually become fully and widely available in June anyway, pricing in some shipping and capacity expansion delays.
And yes, of course, if we have it available for all US adults, it will still take an additional period of time for everyone to actually get vaccinated (even with a single-shot vaccine like the J&J offering).
Do you have any sense of the connection between that expedited vaccine production schedule and any improvement in the downstream pipeline? Getting vaccine produced quicker doesn't necessarily move up the schedule to get sufficient people vaccinated if we can't actually schedule appointments to get vaccinated any faster, right?
I have little sense of this, partly because I think at that point the vaccination campaign goes hyperlocal. I think it stops being an affair of exclusively large centers and large pharmacy chains, and becomes something that numerous clinics and individual private doctor's offices are offering as well. So I really don't know what the logistics or the capacity are going to look like at all.
I'm a clinical trial communications and virology expert, after all. It's just not my area of expertise.
It is actually 3 months to Biden's timeframe - end of May. It also means though that end of May is when everyone *could* get a first shot (but everyone won't by then) and which means that its end of June before "everyone" would be vaccinated.
Yes, if we count by weeks it's strictly about 10-12 weeks from now. I just went with counting the month numbers--maybe a little imprecise, but I don't think the date that Biden provided is going to be terribly precise either. To be super conservative, one might expect the vaccine to actually become fully and widely available in June anyway, pricing in some shipping and capacity expansion delays.
And yes, of course, if we have it available for all US adults, it will still take an additional period of time for everyone to actually get vaccinated (even with a single-shot vaccine like the J&J offering).
Do you have any sense of the connection between that expedited vaccine production schedule and any improvement in the downstream pipeline? Getting vaccine produced quicker doesn't necessarily move up the schedule to get sufficient people vaccinated if we can't actually schedule appointments to get vaccinated any faster, right?
I have little sense of this, partly because I think at that point the vaccination campaign goes hyperlocal. I think it stops being an affair of exclusively large centers and large pharmacy chains, and becomes something that numerous clinics and individual private doctor's offices are offering as well. So I really don't know what the logistics or the capacity are going to look like at all.
I'm a clinical trial communications and virology expert, after all. It's just not my area of expertise.