Thank you for writing about how common spillover events are - I've been curious about that for a while. You mention that non-catastrophic spillover events can happen often - could you put an order of magnitude on that? Are we talking about 10 events that cause limited disease in humans per year? 100? 1000?
Just wondering if you'll be commenting on the recent (as in hours ago) announcement from China that they are now recommending a booster 6 months after vaccination, apparently for all their vaccines (or possibly all vaccines from anyone, it isn't clear in the coverage I have seen).
Taking the more conservative assumption: what? They have ... let me count. Two Sinopharm vaccines, Cansino, Coronavac ... four vaccines approved for use somewhere? Using different technologies? Yet somehow, immunity caused by all wanes at the same rate? It has to be pretty dramatic stuff for the Chinese Communist Party to publicly admit the problem, they're allergic to any bad press.
Considering that yesterday I saw a paper saying that antibodies from the Western vaccines last for at least 12 months if not longer (not ready to report that story yet though), I'm not sure what to make of that. I don't know what evidence they're basing it on.
Thank you for writing about how common spillover events are - I've been curious about that for a while. You mention that non-catastrophic spillover events can happen often - could you put an order of magnitude on that? Are we talking about 10 events that cause limited disease in humans per year? 100? 1000?
Thank you for writing about how common spillover events are - I've been curious about that for a while. You mention that non-catastrophic spillover events can happen often - could you put an order of magnitude on that? Are we talking about 10 events that cause limited disease in humans per year? 100? 1000?
Just wondering if you'll be commenting on the recent (as in hours ago) announcement from China that they are now recommending a booster 6 months after vaccination, apparently for all their vaccines (or possibly all vaccines from anyone, it isn't clear in the coverage I have seen).
Taking the more conservative assumption: what? They have ... let me count. Two Sinopharm vaccines, Cansino, Coronavac ... four vaccines approved for use somewhere? Using different technologies? Yet somehow, immunity caused by all wanes at the same rate? It has to be pretty dramatic stuff for the Chinese Communist Party to publicly admit the problem, they're allergic to any bad press.
So, I'd love to hear your thoughts.
Considering that yesterday I saw a paper saying that antibodies from the Western vaccines last for at least 12 months if not longer (not ready to report that story yet though), I'm not sure what to make of that. I don't know what evidence they're basing it on.
That's the issue, isn't it? That we do not have any of their data (for values of "we" that mean "virologists like you").
Thank you for writing about how common spillover events are - I've been curious about that for a while. You mention that non-catastrophic spillover events can happen often - could you put an order of magnitude on that? Are we talking about 10 events that cause limited disease in humans per year? 100? 1000?